The ongoing dry spell across Jammu & Kashmir is expected to continue till the end of the month, with no significant rain or snowfall forecast, raising concerns over a growing precipitation deficit and its wider impact on agriculture and water resources.
According to forecast insights, day temperatures are likely to remain consistently above normal. If the warm spell intensifies further, some temperature records for late winter could also be challenged. The unusual warmth has already triggered early blooming in several areas of the Valley.
Experts warn that early blossom under prolonged warmth carries risks. In case fresh Western Disturbances bring a sudden cold spell or late frost in March, flowering and fruit-bearing trees could suffer damage, potentially impacting the horticulture sector.
The rising temperatures may also accelerate melting of glaciers and snowpack, leading to a temporary increase in river and spring discharge. However, if dry conditions persist into March, reduced water availability during the critical pre-sowing phase could affect paddy cultivation.
Authorities and farmers are closely monitoring the evolving weather situation amid concerns over both immediate and long-term impacts.
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